Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 15 at the 84

New York Giants 0 – Washington Commanders 3

(10:41) 9-B.Wing punts 47 yards to WAS 37, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, downed by NYG-43-C.Dahl.

The Three Options

GO -2.91 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 69, worth +1.46 EP
69% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 84, worth -4.91 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (101 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model