Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 14 at the 68

Los Angeles Rams 13 – Baltimore Ravens 10

(9:08) (Punt formation) 6-J.Hekker punts 42 yards to BAL 26, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 81-K.Clay to BAL 22 for -4 yards (31-M.Alexander).

The Three Options

GO -2.04 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.47 EP
73% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 68, worth -3.73 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model