Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 4 at the 79

Los Angeles Chargers 0 – Kansas City Chiefs 0

(7:43) 5-M.Scifres punts 50 yards to KC 29, Center-47-M.Windt, fair catch by 19-J.Maclin.

The Three Options

GO -1.44 EP

50% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 75, worth +1.42 EP
50% chance to fail: Kansas City Chiefs takes over around their own 79, worth -4.35 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (96 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model