Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 8 at the 67

Los Angeles Chargers 3 – Kansas City Chiefs 19

(:52) 5-M.Scifres punts 57 yards to KC 10, Center-47-M.Windt. 19-J.Maclin to KC 21 for 11 yards (57-J.Mays).

The Three Options

GO -1.54 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 59, worth +2.10 EP
63% chance to fail: Kansas City Chiefs takes over around their own 67, worth -3.71 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model