Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 6 at the 76

Los Angeles Rams 13 – Chicago Bears 30

(6:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-N.Foles pass incomplete short right to 83-B.Quick (21-T.Porter).

The Three Options

GO -1.94 EP

What Happened

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.35 EP
58% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 76, worth -4.32 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose GO Model wanted PUNT instead — cost +0.36 EP