Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 6 at the 65

Los Angeles Rams 0 – Minnesota Vikings 3

(9:05) (Punt formation) 6-J.Hekker punts 45 yards to MIN 20, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 35-M.Sherels to MIN 20 for no gain (12-S.Bailey).

The Three Options

GO -1.74 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 59, worth +1.70 EP
61% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 65, worth -3.94 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model