Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 10 at the 60

Philadelphia Eagles 7 – Dallas Cowboys 7

(:04) (Punt formation) 8-D.Jones punts 50 yards to DAL 10, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, downed by PHI.

The Three Options

GO -0.85 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +0.67 EP
68% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 60, worth -1.57 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model