Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 9 at the 74

Dallas Cowboys 3 – Seattle Seahawks 3

(9:14) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 39 yards to SEA 35, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.12 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.73 EP
65% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 74, worth -4.20 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model