Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 8 at the 66

Pittsburgh Steelers 0 – Los Angeles Chargers 7

(6:39) 4-J.Berry punts 42 yards to LAC 24, Center-60-G.Warren, fair catch by 12-J.Jones.

The Three Options

GO -1.74 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 58, worth +1.41 EP
60% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 66, worth -3.85 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model