Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 5 at the 75

Los Angeles Rams 0 – Washington Commanders 7

(5:29) 6-J.Hekker punts 41 yards to WAS 34, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 80-J.Crowder.

The Three Options

GO -2.19 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +0.94 EP
57% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 75, worth -4.54 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model