Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Washington Commanders 4th & 8 at the 68

Washington Commanders 17 – Los Angeles Rams 10

(5:29) 5-T.Way punts 34 yards to LA 34, Center-57-N.Sundberg, downed by WAS-51-W.Compton.

The Three Options

GO -1.72 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +2.12 EP
64% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 68, worth -3.84 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model