Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 15 at the 95

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Green Bay Packers 7

(8:53) 9-J.Ryan punts 39 yards to SEA 44, Center-49-C.Gresham, fair catch by 33-M.Hyde.

The Three Options

GO -4.05 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 80, worth +0.07 EP
69% chance to fail: Green Bay Packers takes over around their own 95, worth -5.93 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (112 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model